Maybe that's a bit late to do the predictions after a long time war of 2010's Oscar Awards. Although the predictions always be a great dinner of Oscar fans, we can not help to think "who will be the final winners of greatest wrap party"? so, let's predict!
I've long believed that people choose their favorites here by closing their eyes and remembering actual scenes of great editing. I call it 'The Chorus Line' syndrome. In that film, there was a sequence showing auditioning dancers spinning on stage, and their upper bodies were so seamlessly edited, it had the effect of a whirling dervish. Nobody found much else to like about the movie, but it was nominated for Best Editing. Of course, that's not all there is to it. A good editor shapes the narrative, as well, and that is why many directors say a movie is made in the editing room.
My Oscars 2010 Prediction
'Avatar' -- A foregone conclusion if ever there was one.
or 'District 9'- Julian Clarke
The arrival of an enormous disabled spaceship over Johannesburg, South Africa, has led to the establishment of a refugee camp on the city's outskirts for the ship's starving, stranded aliens.

Normally, the Writers Guild of America would help Oscar voters make up their minds here, but the guild's rigid rules about eligibility kept some classy contenders off its lists of nominees -- among them: Quentin Tarantino's original screenplay for 'Inglourious Basterds,' which will be a serious contender for an Oscar.
The real mystery here is whether James Cameron will be nominated for his original screenplay for 'Avatar.' The script has been widely criticized for being anything but original, and his peers in the Academy snubbed his script for 'Titanic.' The Writers Guild, however, didn't deny 'Titanic'; nor have they denied 'Avatar.' I think it gets in.
My Oscars 2010 Prediction
'Avatar' -- Nobody will confuse James Cameron with J.R. Tolkien, but somebody created the strange world of Pandora and its lanky blue natives and that's writing, too.
If members of the Academy's writers' branch were required to read the source material as well as the screenplays, they might come up with a list that mirrors the USC Scripter Award, which does have that requirement. Without being familiar with the source material, you really have no idea how much work went into the adaptation or how well it was done.
My Oscars 2010 Prediction
'Crazy Heart' -- Actor-turned-writer/director Scott Cooper adapted Thomas Cobb's novel about an aging, alcoholic country singing star and then got lucky talking Jeff Bridges into playing him.
or 'An Education' -- Nick Hornby adapted Lynn Barber's memoir about a teenage girl lured into womanhood by a charmingly dishonest hustler in 1960s London.

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